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Old 25th June 2009, 7:33pm   #46
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Re: Iran an aw that

Quote:
Originally Posted by supernothing View Post
Might seem like i'm being pigheieded but i'm not meaning to be, BUT



The fact that the sample size=the whole population (aside from the fact that for some reason the statisticians never included the "spoiled ballots" as another candidate which would have increased the sample size 20%) doesn't really matter with this type of analysis does it? Its to do with the amount of actual results (in this case only 116) - if they had smaller constituencies for exaple we would have more results and the test of whether the last digit is "random enough" would gain weight.



I would think that WAS the rule in this type of analysis - that programme that runs the "monty hall problem" comes to mind, the more times you simulate the choice the more you believe the outcome.
But, regardless, a correction for sample size is built in anyway and it still comes out as valid.
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