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25th June 2009, 7:33pm
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#46 | | tired and emotional Editor SuperMod
Join Date: Sep 2004 Location: Dundee
Posts: 19,653
| Re: Iran an aw that Quote:
Originally Posted by supernothing Might seem like i'm being pigheieded but i'm not meaning to be, BUT
The fact that the sample size=the whole population (aside from the fact that for some reason the statisticians never included the "spoiled ballots" as another candidate which would have increased the sample size 20%) doesn't really matter with this type of analysis does it? Its to do with the amount of actual results (in this case only 116) - if they had smaller constituencies for exaple we would have more results and the test of whether the last digit is "random enough" would gain weight.
I would think that WAS the rule in this type of analysis - that programme that runs the "monty hall problem" comes to mind, the more times you simulate the choice the more you believe the outcome. | But, regardless, a correction for sample size is built in anyway and it still comes out as valid.
__________________ Willies. |
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25th June 2009, 9:48pm
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#47 | | Experimental stooge
Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Auld Reekie
Posts: 15,133
| Re: Iran an aw that Supernothing, your wrong. Sorry, but I feel there is no point explaining it again.
The Monty Hall problem isn't all that relevant here... As the odds are known and remain the same no matter how many times it is run.
Last edited by endless psych; 25th June 2009 at 9:53pm.
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26th June 2009, 9:23am
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#48 | | the quintessential outlaw
Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: rollin' deep
Posts: 7,742
| Re: Iran an aw that Shite 
__________________ arms my only ornament my only rest - the fight |
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26th June 2009, 9:30am
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#49 | | Harvey Kartel
Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: Beatdown Central
Posts: 10,951
| Re: Iran an aw that The validity of the results is a sideshow that will be used to justify Western aggression, it's not the real issue. If Mousavi won and electoral fraud could be demonstrated, we wouldn't be hearing a word about this.
I'm far more concerned about our own flawed (and corrupt) electoral system than some other countries, but I understand that it's a lot easier to point fingers at other countries than look at our own problem.
__________________ Yo |
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26th June 2009, 10:52am
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#50 | | Experimental stooge
Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Auld Reekie
Posts: 15,133
| Re: Iran an aw that Quote:
Originally Posted by Dec I'm far more concerned about our own flawed (and corrupt) electoral system than some other countries, but I understand that it's a lot easier to point fingers at other countries than look at our own problem. | Average corruption index score from transparency international:-
Under FPTP - 3.87 (Including upper/lower chamber and presidential votes, used in total in 63 elections*)
Under STV - 7.52 (Upper/lower chamber votes, used in 5 elections*)
UK's corruption index score:- 7.7 (Which puts it in the second tier of nations corruption wise IIRC - it's also a similar average that electoral college systems score but I only have a sample of two for that system.)
(Where lower scores are more corrupt and higher scores less so. Most Scandinavian countries are in the 9's. Denmark scoring as the least corrupt country)
There are arguments for and against FPTP. Personally I'd favour an elected house of lords elected by STV and a mixture of FPTP and STV in the commons. Ideally we'd get rid of the monarchy and be able to elect the executive branch of govt. Either in it's entirety or just the head of state.
*From the sources I used, more accurate ones are probably avaliable. |
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26th June 2009, 10:59am
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#51 | | Harvey Kartel
Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: Beatdown Central
Posts: 10,951
| Re: Iran an aw that Not interested in how corrupt Iran may or not be, that's the point. Our system is fucked and protects the interests of the elite the same way theirs does, "corruption" in a quantifiable manner is a ridiculous notion.
__________________ Yo |
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26th June 2009, 11:13am
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#52 | | HENRY ROLLINSAUSAGE
Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: G65/G44/FK5
Posts: 12,180
| Re: Iran an aw that The choice for the Iranian people between both Ahmenjihad and Mousavi is this; Be bombed sooner, or be bombed back to the stoneage later.
America will get it's way, and all fence sitters and distortion of truths will aid in this.
No-one can prove without doubt, ahmenjihad cheated the elections.
It is categorically impossible. |
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26th June 2009, 11:17am
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#53 | | Experimental stooge
Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Auld Reekie
Posts: 15,133
| Re: Iran an aw that Well I didn't mention Iran but never mind.
The CPI quantifies peoples perceptions of coruption:-
(It also surveys public sector workers to enquire if they have been bribed etc anonymously) Quote: |
The CPI focuses on corruption in the public sector and defines corruption as the abuse of public office for private gain. The surveys used in compiling the CPI ask questions relating to the misuse of public power for private benefit. These include for example: bribery of public officials, kickbacks in public procurement, embezzlement of public funds or questions that probe the strength and effectiveness of anti-corruption efforts, thereby encompassing both the administrative and political aspects of corruption.
| Why is corruption in a quantifiable manner ridiculous?
It's certainly not something that can be easily quantified but I see no reason why you couldn't break it down (financial corruption, nepostism etc etc) and provide decents proxys for the purposes of comparison. It's certainly no more ridiculous an endeavour then relying purely on ideology and dogma to define, decide and determine who and what is corrupt.
That way, yes this is oversimplified, your basically just pointing at folks and saying "your corrupt because I say so". I wish you luck with that Citizen Robespierre
Well I didn't mention Iran but never mind.
The CPI quantifies peoples perceptions of coruption:-
(It also surveys public sector workers to enquire if they have been bribed etc anonymously) Quote: |
The CPI focuses on corruption in the public sector and defines corruption as the abuse of public office for private gain. The surveys used in compiling the CPI ask questions relating to the misuse of public power for private benefit. These include for example: bribery of public officials, kickbacks in public procurement, embezzlement of public funds or questions that probe the strength and effectiveness of anti-corruption efforts, thereby encompassing both the administrative and political aspects of corruption.
| Why is corruption in a quantifiable manner ridiculous?
It's certainly not something that can be easily quantified but I see no reason why you couldn't break it down (financial corruption, nepostism etc etc) and provide decents proxys for the purposes of comparison. It's certainly no more ridiculous an endeavour then relying purely on ideology and dogma to define, decide and determine who and what is corrupt.
That way, yes this is oversimplified, your basically just pointing at folks and saying "your corrupt because I say so". I wish you luck with that Citizen Robespierre 
Last edited by endless psych; 26th June 2009 at 11:17am.
Reason: Automerged Doublepost
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26th June 2009, 11:27am
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#54 | | Experimental stooge
Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Auld Reekie
Posts: 15,133
| Re: Iran an aw that Quote:
Originally Posted by AWESOMEUS MAXIMUS The choice for the Iranian people between both Ahmenjihad and Mousavi is this; Be bombed sooner, or be bombed back to the stoneage later. | I don't think there is all that much choice between the candidates. Although thats because the overall system of semi-democratic theocracy doesn't alter not because of fears of US attack based upon Bush era neo-con paranoia and not much else... Quote: |
and all fence sitters and distortion of truths will aid in this.
| Heh, that statement may be the ultimate irony... Quote:
No-one can prove without doubt, ahmenjihad cheated the elections.
It is categorically impossible.
| You can't prove anything without doubt, that much is true. (Which is probably why the stats dealing with the probable electoral fraud gave a probability (that is a chance that it is electoral fraud) of 1 in 200 that it isn't. Saying there isn't certainty is accurate however but it's a fairly glib and unimportant point to make. |
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26th June 2009, 12:13pm
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#55 | | HENRY ROLLINSAUSAGE
Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: G65/G44/FK5
Posts: 12,180
| Re: Iran an aw that Quote:
From Mossadegh to Ahmadinejad
The CIA and the Iranian experiment
by Thierry Meyssan
The news of alleged election fraud has spread through Tehran like wildfire, pitching ayatollah Rafsanjani’s supporters against ayatollah Khamenei’s in street confrontations. This chaotic situation is secretly stirred by the CIA which has been spreading confusion by flooding Iranians with contradicting SMS messages. Thierry Meyssan recounts this psychological warfare experiment.
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19 June 2009
From
Beirut (Lebanon)
In March 2000, the Secretary of State Madeleine Albright admitted that the Eisenhower administration organized a regime change in 1953 in Iran and that this historical event explained the current hostility of Iranians towards the United States. Last week, during the speech he addressed to Muslims in Cairo, President Obama officially recognized that « in the midst of the cold war the United States played a role in the toppling of a democratically elected Iranian government » [1].
At the time, Iran was controlled by a puppet monarchy headed by the Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi. He had been placed on the throne by the British who forced his father, the pro-Nazi Cossack officer Reza Pahlavi to resign. However, the Shah had to deal with a nationalist Prime Minister, Mohammad Mossadegh. Mossadegh, with the help of ayatollah Abou al-Qassem Kachani, nationalized the oil resources [2]. Furious, the British persuaded the United States that the Iranian dissent needed to be stopped before the country became communist. The CIA then put together Operation Ajax to overthrow Mossadegh with the help of the Shah, and to replace him with Nazi general Fazlollah Zahedi who until then was detained by the British. Zahedi is responsible for having instituted the cruelest terror regime of the time, while the Shah would cover his exactions while parading for Western ‘people’ magazines.
Operation Ajax was lead by archeologist Donald Wilber, historian Kermit Roosevelt (grandson of president Theodore Roosevelt) and general Norman Schwartzkopf Sr. (whose son with the same name lead Operation Desert Storm). This operation remains a textbook example of subversion. The CIA came up with a scenario that gave the impression of a popular revolt when in reality it was a covert operation. The highpoint of the show was a demonstration in Tehran with 8 000 actors paid by the Agency to provide credible pictures to Western media [3].
Is History repeating itself? Washington renounced to a military attack on Iran and has dissuaded Israel to take such an initiative. In order to « change the regime », the Obama administration prefers to play the game of covert actions – less dangerous but with a more unpredictable outcome. After the Iranian presidential elections, huge demonstrations in the streets of Tehran are pitching supporters of president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and supreme leader Ali Khamenei on one side, to supporters of defeated candidate Mir-Hossein Mousavi and former president Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani on the other. The demonstrations are a sign of a profound division in the Iranian society between a nationalist proletariat and a bourgeoisie upset at being held back from economic globalization [4]. With its covert actions, Washington is trying to weigh on the events to topple the re-elected president.
Once again, Iran is an experimental field for innovative subversive methods. CIA is relying in 2009 on a new weapon: control of cell phones. Since the democratization of mobile phones, Anglo-Saxon secret services have increased their interception capability. While wired phones’ tapping requires the installation of branch circuits – and therefore local agents, tapping of mobile phones can be done remotely using the Echelon network. However, this system cannot intercept Skype mobile phones communications, which explains the success of Skype telephones in conflict areas [5]. The National Security Agency (NSA) therefore lobbied world Internet Service Providers to require their cooperation. Those who accepted have received huge retribution [6].
In countries under their occupation —Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan—, the Anglo-Saxons intercept all telephone communication, whether mobile or wired. The goal is not to obtain full transcripts of any given conversation, but to identify « social networks ». In other words, telephones are surveillance bugs which make it possible to know who anyone is in touch with. Firstly, the hope is to identify resistance networks.
Secondly, telephones make it possible to locate identified targets and «neutralize» them. This is why in February 2008, the Afghan rebels ordered various operators to stop their activity daily, from 5PM to 3AM, in order to prevent the Anglo-Saxons to follow their whereabouts. The relay antennas of those that refused to comply where destroyed [7].
On the contrary, with the exception of a telephone exchange which was accidentally hit, Israeli forces made sure not to hit telephone exchanges in Gaza during Operation Cast Lead from December 2008 to January 2009. This is a complete change in strategy. Since the Gulf War, the most prevalent strategy was colonel John A. Warden’s « five circles theory »: the bombing of telephone infrastructures was considered a strategic objective to both confuse populations and to cut communication lines between commanding centers and fighters. Now the opposite applies: telecommunication infrastructures must be protected. During the bombings in Gaza, the operator Jawwal [8] offered additional talk time to its users – officially to help them but de facto serving Israel’s interests. Going one step further, Anglo-Saxons and Israeli secrets services developed psychological warfare methods based on an extensive use of mobile phones. In July 2008, after the exchange of prisoners and remains between Israel and Hezbollah, robots placed tens of thousands of calls to Lebanese mobile phones. A voice speaking in Arabic was warning against participating in any resistance activity and belittled Hezbollah. The Lebanese minister of telecommunications, Jibran Bassil [9], files a complaint to the UN against this blatant violation of the country’s sovereignty [10]. Following the same approach, tens of thousands of Lebanese and Syrians received an automatic phone call in October 2008 to offer them 10 million dollars for any information leading to the location and freeing of Israeli prisoners. People interested in collaborating were invited to call a number in the UK [11].
This method has now been used in Iran to bluff the population, to spread shocking news and to channel the resulting anger.
First, SMS were sent during the night of the counting of the votes, according to which the Guardian Council of the Constitution (equivalent to a constitutional court) had informed Mir-Hossein Mousavi of his victory. After that, the announcing of the official results — the re-election of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad with 64 % of cast votes — seemed like a huge fraud. However, three days earlier, M. Mousavi and his friends were considering a massive victory of M. Ahmadinejad as certain and were trying to explain it by unbalanced campaigns. Indeed the ex president Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani was detailing his grievances in an open letter. The US polling institutes in Iran were predicting a 20 points lead for M. Ahmadinejad over M. Mousavi [12]. M. Mousavi victory never seemed possible, even if it is probable that some fraud accentuated the margin between the two candidates.
Secondly, Iranian citizens were selected or volunteered on the Internet to chat on Facebook or to subscribe to Twitter feeds. They received information —true or false— (still via SMS) about the evolution of the political crisis and the ongoing demonstrations. These anonymous news posts were spreading news of gun fights and numerous deaths which to this day have not been confirmed. Because of an unfortunate calendar overlap, Twitter was supposed to suspend its service for a night to allow for some maintenance of its systems. The US State Department intervened to ask them to postpone it [13]. According to the New York Times, these operations contributed to spread defiance in the population [14].
Messages describing death threats, police bursting into homes, etc. sent by authors who cannot be indentified or located. Simultaneously, in a new type of effort, the CIA is mobilizing anti-Iranian militants in the United States and in the United Kingdom to increase the chaos. A Practical Guide to revolution in Iran was distributed to them, which contains a number of recommendations, including:
set Twitter accounts feeds to Tehran time zone;
centralize messages on the following Twitter accounts @stopAhmadi, #iranelection and #gr88 ;
official Iranian State websites should not be attacked. « Let the US military take care of it » (sic).
When applied, these recommendations make it impossible to authenticate any Twitter messages. It is impossible to know if they are being sent by witnesses of the demonstrations in Tehran or by CIA agents in Langley, and it is impossible to distinguish real from false ones. The goal is to create more and more confusion and to push Iranians to fight amongst themselves.
Army general staffs everywhere in the world are closely following the events in Tehran. They are trying to evaluate the efficiency of this new subversion method in the Iranian experimental field. Evidently, the destabilization process worked. But it is unclear if the CIA will be able to channel demonstrators to do what the Pentagon has renounced to do, and what they do not want to do themselves : to change the regime and put an end to the Islamic revolution.
Thierry Meyssan
Journalist and writer, president of the Voltaire Network.
| Good reading
And another topper; This time by James Petras, professor of sociology at the Binghamton university of New York. Quote:
Class struggle and imperial propaganda
Iranian Elections: The ‘Stolen Elections’ Hoax
by James Petras
Despite the forecasts by western opinion leaders and reporters based in Tehran, the outcome of the Iranian presidential election leaves no room for doubt: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad won by a landslide victory. This is hardly surprising, observes Professor James Petras, since people voted according to class interests : the incumbent national-populist candidate drew his support from the far more numerous lower classes while the pro-western elite voted for the liberal candidate, boosted by the western media. A similar electoral scenario has already been witnessed in other countries.
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19 June 2009
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Covert Action: government overthrows, psychological warfare...
Control of the "Great Middle East"
“Change for the poor means food and jobs, not a relaxed dress code or mixed recreation…Politics in Iran is a lot more about class war than religion.” Financial Times Editorial, June 15 2009
Introduction
There is hardly any election, in which the White House has a significant stake, where the electoral defeat of the pro-US candidate is not denounced as illegitimate by the entire political and mass media elite. In the most recent period, the White House and its camp followers cried foul following the free (and monitored) elections in Venezuela and Gaza, while joyously fabricating an ‘electoral success’ in Lebanon despite the fact that the Hezbollah-led coalition received over 53% of the vote.
The recently concluded, June 12, 2009 elections in Iran are a classic case: The incumbent nationalist-populist President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (MA) received 63.3% of the vote (or 24.5 million votes), while the leading Western-backed liberal opposition candidate Hossein Mousavi (HM) received 34.2% or (3.2 million votes). Iran’s presidential election drew a record turnout of more than 80% of the electorate, including an unprecedented overseas vote of 234,812, in which HM won 111,792 to MA’s 78,300. The opposition led by HM did not accept their defeat and organized a series of mass demonstrations that turned violent, resulting in the burning and destruction of automobiles, banks, public building and armed confrontations with the police and other authorities. Almost the entire spectrum of Western opinion makers, including all the major electronic and print media, the major liberal, radical, libertarian and conservative web-sites, echoed the opposition’s claim of rampant election fraud. Neo-conservatives, libertarian conservatives and Trotskyites joined the Zionists in hailing the opposition protestors as the advance guard of a democratic revolution. Democrats and Republicans condemned the incumbent regime, refused to recognize the result of the vote and praised the demonstrators’ efforts to overturn the electoral outcome. The New York Times, CNN, Washington Post, the Israeli Foreign Office and the entire leadership of the Presidents of the Major American Jewish Organizations called for harsher sanctions against Iran and announced Obama’s proposed dialogue with Iran as ‘dead in the water’.
The Electoral Fraud Hoax
Western leaders rejected the results because they ‘knew’ that their reformist candidate could not lose…For months they published daily interviews, editorials and reports from the field ‘detailing’ the failures of Ahmadinejad’s administration; they cited the support from clerics, former officials, merchants in the bazaar and above all women and young urbanites fluent in English, to prove that Mousavi was headed for a landslide victory. A victory for Mousavi was described as a victory for the ‘voices of moderation’, at least the White House’s version of that vacuous cliché. Prominent liberal academics deduced the vote count was fraudulent because the opposition candidate, Mousavi, lost in his own ethnic enclave among the Azeris. Other academics claimed that the ‘youth vote’ – based on their interviews with upper and middle-class university students from the neighborhoods of Northern Tehran were overwhelmingly for the ‘reformist’ candidate.
What is astonishing about the West’s universal condemnation of the electoral outcome as fraudulent is that not a single shred of evidence in either written or observational form has been presented either before or a week after the vote count. During the entire electoral campaign, no credible (or even dubious) charge of voter tampering was raised. As long as the Western media believed their own propaganda of an immanent victory for their candidate, the electoral process was described as highly competitive, with heated public debates and unprecedented levels of public activity and unhindered by public proselytizing. The belief in a free and open election was so strong that the Western leaders and mass media believed that their favored candidate would win.
The Western media relied on its reporters covering the mass demonstrations of opposition supporters, ignoring and downplaying the huge turnout for Ahmadinejad. Worse still, the Western media ignored the class composition of the competing demonstrations – the fact that the incumbent candidate was drawing his support from the far more numerous poor working class, peasant, artisan and public employee sectors while the bulk of the opposition demonstrators was drawn from the upper and middle class students, business and professional class.
Moreover, most Western opinion leaders and reporters based in Tehran extrapolated their projections from their observations in the capital – few venture into the provinces, small and medium size cities and villages where Ahmadinejad has his mass base of support. Moreover the opposition’s supporters were an activist minority of students easily mobilized for street activities, while Ahmadinejad’s support drew on the majority of working youth and household women workers who would express their views at the ballot box and had little time or inclination to engage in street politics.
A number of newspaper pundits, including Gideon Rachman of the Financial Times, claim as evidence of electoral fraud the fact that Ahmadinejad won 63% of the vote in an Azeri-speaking province against his opponent, Mousavi, an ethnic Azeri. The simplistic assumption is that ethnic identity or belonging to a linguistic group is the only possible explanation of voting behavior rather than other social or class interests. A closer look at the voting pattern in the East-Azerbaijan region of Iran reveals that Mousavi won only in the city of Shabestar among the upper and the middle classes (and only by a small margin), whereas he was soundly defeated in the larger rural areas, where the re-distributive policies of the Ahmadinejad government had helped the ethnic Azeris write off debt, obtain cheap credits and easy loans for the farmers. Mousavi did win in the West-Azerbaijan region, using his ethnic ties to win over the urban voters. In the highly populated Tehran province, Mousavi beat Ahmadinejad in the urban centers of Tehran and Shemiranat by gaining the vote of the middle and upper class districts, whereas he lost badly in the adjoining working class suburbs, small towns and rural areas.
The careless and distorted emphasis on ‘ethnic voting’ cited by writers from the Financial Times and New York Times to justify calling Ahmadinejad ‘s victory a ‘stolen vote’ is matched by the media’s willful and deliberate refusal to acknowledge a rigorous nationwide public opinion poll conducted by two US experts just three weeks before the vote, which showed Ahmadinejad leading by a more than 2 to 1 margin – even larger than his electoral victory on June 12. This poll revealed that among ethnic Azeris, Ahmadinejad was favored by a 2 to 1 margin over Mousavi, demonstrating how class interests represented by one candidate can overcome the ethnic identity of the other candidate [1]. The poll also demonstrated how class issues, within age groups, were more influential in shaping political preferences than ‘generational life style’. According to this poll, over two-thirds of Iranian youth were too poor to have access to a computer and the 18-24 year olds “comprised the strongest voting bloc for Ahmadinejad of all groups” [2]. The only group, which consistently favored Mousavi, was the university students and graduates, business owners and the upper middle class. The ‘youth vote’, which the Western media praised as ‘pro-reformist’, was a clear minority of less than 30% but came from a highly privileged, vocal and largely English speaking group with a monopoly on the Western media. Their overwhelming presence in the Western news reports created what has been referred to as the ‘North Tehran Syndrome’, for the comfortable upper class enclave from which many of these students come. While they may be articulate, well dressed and fluent in English, they were soundly out-voted in the secrecy of the ballot box.
In general, Ahmadinejad did very well in the oil and chemical producing provinces. This may have be a reflection of the oil workers’ opposition to the ‘reformist’ program, which included proposals to ‘privatize’ public enterprises. Likewise, the incumbent did very well along the border provinces because of his emphasis on strengthening national security from US and Israeli threats in light of an escalation of US-sponsored cross-border terrorist attacks from Pakistan and Israeli-backed incursions from Iraqi Kurdistan, which have killed scores of Iranian citizens. Sponsorship and massive funding of the groups behind these attacks is an official policy of the US from the Bush Administration, which has not been repudiated by President Obama; in fact it has escalated in the lead-up to the elections. What Western commentators and their Iranian protégés have ignored is the powerful impact which the devastating US wars and occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan had on Iranian public opinion: Ahmadinejad’s strong position on defense matters contrasted with the pro-Western and weak defense posture of many of the campaign propagandists of the opposition.
The great majority of voters for the incumbent probably felt that national security interests, the integrity of the country and the social welfare system, with all of its faults and excesses, could be better defended and improved with Ahmadinejad than with upper-class technocrats supported by Western-oriented privileged youth who prize individual life styles over community values and solidarity.
The demography of voting reveals a real class polarization pitting high income, free market oriented, capitalist individualists against working class, low income, community based supporters of a ‘moral economy’ in which usury and profiteering are limited by religious precepts. The open attacks by opposition economists of the government welfare spending, easy credit and heavy subsidies of basic food staples did little to ingratiate them with the majority of Iranians benefiting from those programs. The state was seen as the protector and benefactor of the poor workers against the ‘market’, which represented wealth, power, privilege and corruption. The Opposition’s attack on the regime’s ‘intransigent’ foreign policy and positions ‘alienating’ the West only resonated with the liberal university students and import-export business groups. To many Iranians, the regime’s military buildup was seen as having prevented a US or Israeli attack.
The scale of the opposition’s electoral deficit should tell us is how out of touch it is with its own people’s vital concerns. It should remind them that by moving closer to Western opinion, they removed themselves from the everyday interests of security, housing, jobs and subsidized food prices that make life tolerable for those living below the middle class and outside the privileged gates of Tehran University.
Amhadinejad’s electoral success, seen in historical comparative perspective should not be a surprise. In similar electoral contests between nationalist-populists against pro-Western liberals, the populists have won. Past examples include Peron in Argentina and, most recently, Chavez of Venezuela, Evo Morales in Bolivia and even Lula da Silva in Brazil, all of whom have demonstrated an ability to secure close to or even greater than 60% of the vote in free elections. The voting majorities in these countries prefer social welfare over unrestrained markets, national security over alignments with military empires.
The consequences of the electoral victory of Ahmadinejad are open to debate. The US may conclude that continuing to back a vocal, but badly defeated, minority has few prospects for securing concessions on nuclear enrichment and an abandonment of Iran’s support for Hezbollah and Hamas. A realistic approach would be to open a wide-ranging discussion with Iran, and acknowledging, as Senator Kerry recently pointed out, that enriching uranium is not an existential threat to anyone. This approach would sharply differ from the approach of American Zionists, embedded in the Obama regime, who follow Israel’s lead of pushing for a preemptive war with Iran and use the specious argument that no negotiations are possible with an ‘illegitimate’ government in Tehran which ‘stole an election’.
Recent events suggest that political leaders in Europe, and even some in Washington, do not accept the Zionist-mass media line of ‘stolen elections’. The White House has not suspended its offer of negotiations with the newly re-elected government but has focused rather on the repression of the opposition protesters (and not the vote count). Likewise, the 27 nation European Union expressed ‘serious concern about violence’ and called for the “aspirations of the Iranian people to be achieved through peaceful means and that freedom of expression be respected” [3]. Except for Sarkozy of France, no EU leader has questioned the outcome of the voting.
The wild card in the aftermath of the elections is the Israeli response: Netanyahu has signaled to his American Zionist followers that they should use the hoax of ‘electoral fraud’ to exert maximum pressure on the Obama regime to end all plans to meet with the newly re-elected Ahmadinejad regime.
Paradoxically, US commentators (left, right and center) who bought into the electoral fraud hoax are inadvertently providing Netanyahu and his American followers with the arguments and fabrications: Where they see religious wars, we see class wars; where they see electoral fraud, we see imperial destabilization.
James Petras |
Last edited by AWESOMEUS MAXIMUS; 26th June 2009 at 12:13pm.
Reason: Automerged Doublepost
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26th June 2009, 12:24pm
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#56 | | Harvey Kartel
Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: Beatdown Central
Posts: 10,951
| Re: Iran an aw that Brilliant articles, cheers.
Chris, have you read Legacy of Ashes? Failed history of the CIA basically, what we're seeing in Iran from them is a repeat of pretty much every previous endeavour they've been involved in, only with new technology.
__________________ Yo |
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26th June 2009, 12:27pm
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#57 | | HENRY ROLLINSAUSAGE
Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: G65/G44/FK5
Posts: 12,180
| Re: Iran an aw that Quote:
Originally Posted by Dec Brilliant articles, cheers.
Chris, have you read Legacy of Ashes? Failed history of the CIA basically, what we're seeing in Iran from them is a repeat of pretty much every previous endeavour they've been involved in, only with new technology. | Never read it, will look for  |
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